Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-23 0.153969 0.164685 0.175866 0.188422 0.202152 0.216737 0.233433
2025-11-30 0.131990 0.147232 0.164021 0.183972 0.207149 0.233363 0.265450
2025-12-07 0.120665 0.138324 0.158479 0.183357 0.213480 0.249084 0.294810
2025-12-14 0.112834 0.132191 0.154922 0.183862 0.220126 0.264607 0.324143
2025-12-21 0.104896 0.125063 0.149297 0.180943 0.221746 0.273381 0.344985
2025-12-28 0.098937 0.119795 0.145381 0.179562 0.224786 0.283684 0.368102
2026-01-04 0.095525 0.117390 0.144743 0.182102 0.232801 0.300741 0.401415
2026-01-11 0.091061 0.113312 0.141618 0.181017 0.235672 0.310760 0.425356
2026-01-18 0.086659 0.109036 0.137929 0.178833 0.236712 0.318063 0.445646
2026-01-25 0.082394 0.104701 0.133890 0.175850 0.236306 0.323073 0.462635
2026-02-01 0.080806 0.103839 0.134439 0.179204 0.245057 0.341896 0.502369
2026-02-08 0.077593 0.100601 0.131540 0.177443 0.246116 0.349128 0.524082
2026-02-15 0.075148 0.098349 0.129947 0.177535 0.250024 0.361117 0.554932
2026-02-22 0.071670 0.094516 0.125958 0.173894 0.248009 0.363643 0.569997
2026-03-01 0.069391 0.092266 0.124104 0.173297 0.250604 0.373616 0.598733
2026-03-08 0.067591 0.090614 0.123020 0.173768 0.254848 0.386486 0.633734
2026-03-15 0.064994 0.087709 0.119974 0.171053 0.253768 0.390299 0.652327
2026-03-22 0.062960 0.085544 0.117924 0.169767 0.254906 0.397897 0.678666
2026-03-29 0.062038 0.084965 0.118202 0.172130 0.262185 0.416609 0.728339
2026-04-05 0.060284 0.083086 0.116434 0.171121 0.263680 0.425095 0.758417
2026-04-12 0.058366 0.080897 0.114106 0.169089 0.263278 0.430066 0.781696
2026-04-19 0.056366 0.078519 0.111401 0.166313 0.261416 0.432177 0.799101
2026-04-26 0.055896 0.078441 0.112252 0.169434 0.270089 0.454611 0.862649